How it works

How Crossbearing Works

Crossbearing watches many public and model-driven sources, groups what they say about a symbol, and publishes a direction only when the sources agree strongly enough.

What we track

Each family below is a separate signal source.
Congressional trading
Stock transactions disclosed by members of Congress under the STOCK Act.
Dark pool volume
Off-exchange volume reported by FINRA from alternative trading systems.
Institutional 13F filings
Quarterly holdings reported by institutional investment managers.
Insider filings
SEC Form 4 transactions by company insiders.
SEC 8-K events
Material event disclosures, including executive changes, restatements, and deals.
Short volume and fails-to-deliver
FINRA short-sale volume and SEC fails-to-deliver reports.
Options flow
Unusual options activity and the sentiment it implies.
Technical and z-score indicators
Price and volume technicals, plus statistical z-score extremes.
ML price forecasts
Machine-learning forecasts of where price may go next.
Earnings and macro events
Earnings and other corporate catalysts, plus economic and macro events.

How a signal is scored

Signals for a symbol are grouped by direction, bullish or bearish. Base confidence is a weighted average of each signal type's historical win rate. Weights come from recent measured performance: a blend of the last 30 days and the all-time record.

A confluence boost of up to 18 points rewards agreement across different signal types and different sources. A symbol is published only if the winning side scores at least 55 and clearly leads the other side: by at least 5 points, or by at least 1 point when the winning score is 70 or higher.

How outcomes are measured

Every signal is tracked after it fires. Entry is the symbol's close on the first trading session on or after the signal date. Outcomes are measured at fixed trading-day horizons, from 1 to 10 days.

Results are also compared with SPY over the same window, so a market-wide move is separated from the signal's own value. Those outcomes feed back into the weights each day.

What this is not

Crossbearing is a research tool for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and signals can be wrong. You make every trading decision.

See signals on a symbol

Open the scanner to see how sources line up, or start an account to follow scores as they update.

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